Match

Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec: prediction and stats

Canadian Premier LeagueGroup StageKick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)ATCO Field, Calgary, Alberta

Cavalry FCSupra du Quebec

The Footlab model makes Cavalry FC the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Supra du Quebec. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec?

Cavalry FC starts as the favourite with a 201-point Elo edge (1,881 vs 1,680).

Cavalry FC win74 %
Draw16 %
Supra du Quebec win10 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cavalry FC have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Supra du Quebec have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cavalry FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Atlético Ottawa(home)3-1Canadian Premier League
Aug 15, 2026Forge(home)2-1Canadian Premier League
Aug 9, 2026Supra du Quebec(away)1-1Canadian Premier League
Aug 2, 2026York United(home)5-0Canadian Premier League
Jul 29, 2026Supra du Quebec(home)2-1Canadian Premier League
Supra du Quebec
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026York United(away)1-1Canadian Premier League
Aug 19, 2026Forge(away)2-3Canadian Premier League
Aug 16, 2026Atlético Ottawa(home)1-2Canadian Premier League
Aug 11, 2026Atlético Ottawa(away)3-3Canadian Championship
Aug 9, 2026Cavalry FC(home)1-1Canadian Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Cavalry FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Supra du Quebec win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 9, 2026Supra du Quebec 1-1 Cavalry FCCanadian Premier League
Jul 29, 2026Cavalry FC 2-1 Supra du QuebecCanadian Premier League
May 3, 2026Supra du Quebec 0-1 Cavalry FCCanadian Premier League

Last archived meeting: Supra du Quebec vs Cavalry FC on Aug 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cavalry FC score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Supra du Quebec score 1.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cavalry FC2.30.758/158/15
Supra du Quebec1.82.1015/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cavalry FC sit 2nd in Canadian Premier League (40 points from 18 matches) and Supra du Quebec sit 6th (18 points from 17 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Cavalry FC181242361140
6Supra du Quebec17539253218

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec?
The Footlab model makes Cavalry FC the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Supra du Quebec.
Where and when is Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec played?
Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at ATCO Field, in the Canadian Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cavalry FC and Supra du Quebec

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