Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec: prediction and stats
Canadian Premier LeagueGroup StageKick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)ATCO Field, Calgary, Alberta
The Footlab model makes Cavalry FC the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Supra du Quebec. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec?
Cavalry FC starts as the favourite with a 201-point Elo edge (1,881 vs 1,680).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cavalry FC have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Supra du Quebec have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlético Ottawa(home) | 3-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Forge(home) | 2-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Supra du Quebec(away) | 1-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | York United(home) | 5-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Supra du Quebec(home) | 2-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | York United(away) | 1-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Forge(away) | 2-3 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atlético Ottawa(home) | 1-2 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Atlético Ottawa(away) | 3-3 | Canadian Championship |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cavalry FC(home) | 1-1 | Canadian Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Cavalry FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Supra du Quebec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Supra du Quebec 1-1 Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Cavalry FC 2-1 Supra du Quebec | Canadian Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Supra du Quebec 0-1 Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Supra du Quebec vs Cavalry FC on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cavalry FC score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Supra du Quebec score 1.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavalry FC | 2.3 | 0.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Supra du Quebec | 1.8 | 2.1 | 0 | 15/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cavalry FC sit 2nd in Canadian Premier League (40 points from 18 matches) and Supra du Quebec sit 6th (18 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavalry FC | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 11 | 40 |
| 6 | Supra du Quebec | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 32 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec?
- The Footlab model makes Cavalry FC the favourite at 74%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Supra du Quebec.
- Where and when is Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec played?
- Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at ATCO Field, in the Canadian Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 4, 2026Forge2-0Atlético Ottawa
- Apr 4, 2026Vancouver FC0-1HFX Wanderers FC
- Apr 5, 2026Pacific FC1-2Cavalry FC
- Apr 11, 2026York United2-2HFX Wanderers FC
- Apr 11, 2026Pacific FC2-3Supra du Quebec
- Apr 12, 2026Cavalry FC3-1Atlético Ottawa
- Apr 12, 2026Vancouver FC0-1Forge
- Apr 18, 2026HFX Wanderers FC2-2Pacific FC