Match

Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC: prediction and stats

Canadian Premier LeagueGroup StageKick-off on October 25, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)ATCO Field, Calgary, Alberta

Cavalry FCVancouver FC

The Footlab model makes Cavalry FC the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Vancouver FC. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC?

Cavalry FC starts as the favourite with a 227-point Elo edge (1,882 vs 1,654).

Cavalry FC win67 %
Draw20 %
Vancouver FC win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cavalry FC have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Vancouver FC have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cavalry FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Atlético Ottawa(home)3-1Canadian Premier League
Aug 15, 2026Forge(home)2-1Canadian Premier League
Aug 9, 2026Supra du Quebec(away)1-1Canadian Premier League
Aug 2, 2026York United(home)5-0Canadian Premier League
Jul 29, 2026Supra du Quebec(home)2-1Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026HFX Wanderers FC(away)0-1Canadian Premier League
Aug 19, 2026Atlético Ottawa(away)0-4Canadian Premier League
Aug 15, 2026Pacific FC(home)1-1Canadian Premier League
Aug 7, 2026Forge(away)1-0Canadian Premier League
Aug 1, 2026Atlético Ottawa(home)3-1Canadian Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cavalry FC win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Vancouver FC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 25, 2026Vancouver FC 1-0 Cavalry FCCanadian Premier League
May 18, 2026Vancouver FC 0-2 Cavalry FCCanadian Premier League
Oct 18, 2025Vancouver FC 2-2 Cavalry FCCanadian Premier League
Aug 17, 2025Cavalry FC 5-4 Vancouver FCCanadian Premier League
Jul 14, 2025Vancouver FC 0-0 Cavalry FCCanadian Premier League
Jul 9, 2025Cavalry FC 1-1 Vancouver FCCanadian Championship

Last archived meeting: Vancouver FC vs Cavalry FC on Jul 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cavalry FC score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Vancouver FC score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cavalry FC2.30.758/158/15
Vancouver FC1.61.339/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cavalry FC sit 2nd in Canadian Premier League (40 points from 18 matches) and Vancouver FC sit 4th (27 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Cavalry FC181242361140
4Vancouver FC19838262227

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC?
The Footlab model makes Cavalry FC the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Vancouver FC.
Where and when is Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC played?
Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC is played on October 25, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at ATCO Field, in the Canadian Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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