Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC: prediction and stats
Canadian Premier LeagueGroup StageKick-off on October 25, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)ATCO Field, Calgary, Alberta
The Footlab model makes Cavalry FC the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Vancouver FC. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC?
Cavalry FC starts as the favourite with a 227-point Elo edge (1,882 vs 1,654).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cavalry FC have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Vancouver FC have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlético Ottawa(home) | 3-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Forge(home) | 2-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Supra du Quebec(away) | 1-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | York United(home) | 5-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Supra du Quebec(home) | 2-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | HFX Wanderers FC(away) | 0-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Atlético Ottawa(away) | 0-4 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pacific FC(home) | 1-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Forge(away) | 1-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atlético Ottawa(home) | 3-1 | Canadian Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cavalry FC win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Vancouver FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Vancouver FC 1-0 Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | Vancouver FC 0-2 Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Vancouver FC 2-2 Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Cavalry FC 5-4 Vancouver FC | Canadian Premier League |
| Jul 14, 2025 | Vancouver FC 0-0 Cavalry FC | Canadian Premier League |
| Jul 9, 2025 | Cavalry FC 1-1 Vancouver FC | Canadian Championship |
Last archived meeting: Vancouver FC vs Cavalry FC on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cavalry FC score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Vancouver FC score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavalry FC | 2.3 | 0.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Vancouver FC | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cavalry FC sit 2nd in Canadian Premier League (40 points from 18 matches) and Vancouver FC sit 4th (27 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavalry FC | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 11 | 40 |
| 4 | Vancouver FC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 22 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC?
- The Footlab model makes Cavalry FC the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Vancouver FC.
- Where and when is Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC played?
- Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC is played on October 25, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at ATCO Field, in the Canadian Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 4, 2026Forge2-0Atlético Ottawa
- Apr 4, 2026Vancouver FC0-1HFX Wanderers FC
- Apr 5, 2026Pacific FC1-2Cavalry FC
- Apr 11, 2026York United2-2HFX Wanderers FC
- Apr 11, 2026Pacific FC2-3Supra du Quebec
- Apr 12, 2026Cavalry FC3-1Atlético Ottawa
- Apr 12, 2026Vancouver FC0-1Forge
- Apr 18, 2026HFX Wanderers FC2-2Pacific FC