Caxias vs Gremio: result 2-1 and analysis
Gaúcho - 11st Phase - 1Kick-off on January 20, 2024 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Francisco Stédile, Caxias do Sul, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Caxias vs Gremio?
Caxias won 2-1 on January 20, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 7′Gustavo MartinsGremio
- 60′Tomas BastosCaxias
- 77′ÁlvaroCaxias
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caxias have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Gremio have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2023 | Ferroviario(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Sep 7, 2023 | Ferroviario(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Portuguesa RJ(away) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Portuguesa RJ(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Ceilândia(away) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2023 | Fluminense(away) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 30, 2023 | Goias(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Atletico-MG(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Corinthians(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Caxias win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | Gremio 1-0 Caxias | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Caxias 1-1 Gremio | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Caxias 1-2 Gremio | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Jan 26, 2022 | Gremio 2-1 Caxias | Gaúcho - 1 |
| May 9, 2021 | Gremio 2-0 Caxias | Gaúcho - 1 |
| May 3, 2021 | Caxias 1-2 Gremio | Gaúcho - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Caxias score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caxias | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Gremio | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caxias sit 2nd in Gaúcho - 1 (7 points from 6 matches) and Gremio sit 1st (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gremio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Caxias | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy