Caxias vs Novo Hamburgo: result 2-1 and analysis
Gaúcho - 12nd Phase - 3Kick-off on March 15, 2020 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Francisco Stédile, Caxias do Sul, Rio Grande do Sul
Full time
What was the result of Caxias vs Novo Hamburgo?
Caxias won 2-1 on March 15, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 23′Thiago SalesCaxias
- 53′Léo TilicaCaxias
- 89′RomanoNovo Hamburgo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caxias have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Novo Hamburgo have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2020 | São Luiz(away) | 2-1 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Internacional(home) | 1-1 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Gremio(home) | 1-0 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Feb 16, 2020 | Ypiranga-RS(home) | 1-0 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Esportivo(away) | 0-1 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | Esportivo(home) | 2-1 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Mar 1, 2020 | Brasil DE Pelotas(away) | 0-1 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Feb 13, 2020 | Ponte Preta(home) | 1-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Internacional(away) | 0-2 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Feb 2, 2020 | São Luiz(home) | 0-0 | Gaúcho - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Caxias score 0.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Novo Hamburgo score 0.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caxias | 0.9 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Novo Hamburgo | 0.7 | 0.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caxias sit 2nd in Gaúcho - 1 (7 points from 6 matches) and Novo Hamburgo sit 4th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Caxias | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Novo Hamburgo | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy