Caxias vs Vila Nova: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 5, 2012 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Francisco Stédile, Caxias do Sul, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Caxias vs Vila Nova?
Caxias won 2-1 on August 5, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 3′Rafael Santiago MariaCaxias
- 43′Rafael CariocaVila Nova
- 78′Leandro Lino de FreitasCaxias
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Caxias have 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Vila Nova have 2, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2012 | Madureira(home) | 2-0 | Serie C |
| Jul 21, 2012 | Tupi(away) | 2-2 | Serie C |
| Jul 15, 2012 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 2-0 | Serie C |
| Jul 6, 2012 | Oeste(away) | 2-1 | Serie C |
| Jul 1, 2012 | Macaé(home) | 0-4 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2012 | Tupi(home) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Jul 22, 2012 | Duque de Caxias(home) | 4-1 | Serie C |
| Jul 14, 2012 | Santo André(away) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Jul 8, 2012 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 2-3 | Serie C |
| Jun 30, 2012 | Oeste(home) | 4-1 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Caxias score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 5; Vila Nova score 2.0 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caxias | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
| Vila Nova | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Caxias | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 24 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy