CD Villa vs Marchamalo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes CD Villa the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Marchamalo. The most likely score is 1-1. If CD Villa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CD Villa vs Marchamalo?
On Elo ratings, CD Villa has 1,780 points and Marchamalo 1,731.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CD Villa vs Marchamalo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CD Villa
Not enough data to predict the CD Villa lineup.
Marchamalo
Not enough data to predict the Marchamalo lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, CD Villa have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Marchamalo have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Villarrubia(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Socuéllamos(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tarancón(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Guadalajara II(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Almansa(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tarancón(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Manchego(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Guadalajara II(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Huracán Balazote(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 CD Villa wins, 0 draws, 1 Marchamalo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Marchamalo 2-0 CD Villa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
Last archived meeting: Marchamalo vs CD Villa on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CD Villa score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 6; Marchamalo score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD Villa | 1.3 | 0.8 | 3 | 2/6 | 2/6 |
| Marchamalo | 1.3 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CD Villa sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (9 points from 5 matches) and Marchamalo sit 9th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | CD Villa | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 9 | Marchamalo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 8 |
A question about CD Villa vs Marchamalo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CD Villa vs Marchamalo?
- The Footlab AI model makes CD Villa the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Marchamalo.
- Where and when is CD Villa vs Marchamalo played?
- CD Villa vs Marchamalo is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.