Céleste vs Maniema Union: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 5Kick-off on November 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecôte, Kinshasa
The Footlab AI model makes Maniema Union the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Céleste. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Céleste vs Maniema Union?
Maniema Union starts as the favourite with a 233-point Elo edge (1,822 vs 1,589).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Céleste vs Maniema Union
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Céleste
Not enough data to predict the Céleste lineup.
Maniema Union
5-4-1- 36B. Namboka
- 10C. Pitroipa
- 8O. Sangana
- 6Jordi Mukoko
- 14J. Kabamba
- 15L. Dieu
- 3J. Mpindi
- 13A. Bokomboli
- 23E. Moanda
- 22E. Tumbola
- 30D. Ogundare
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Céleste have 1 win, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Maniema Union have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | TP Mazembe(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Maniema Union(home) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Simba(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Don Bosco(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Simba(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | JSK(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Céleste(away) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Vita Club(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 7, 2026 | TP Mazembe(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Céleste wins, 2 draws, 4 Maniema Union wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Céleste 1-3 Maniema Union | Ligue 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Maniema Union 1-0 Céleste | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Céleste 0-0 Maniema Union | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 16, 2025 | Maniema Union 1-0 Céleste | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Maniema Union 0-0 Céleste | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Céleste 0-1 Maniema Union | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Céleste vs Maniema Union on Jun 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Céleste score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Maniema Union score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Céleste | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Maniema Union | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Céleste sit 5th in Ligue 1 (44 points from 26 matches) and Maniema Union sit 1st (52 points from 27 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maniema Union | 27 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 38 | 10 | 52 |
| 5 | Céleste | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36 | 13 | 44 |
A question about Céleste vs Maniema Union?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Céleste vs Maniema Union?
- The Footlab AI model makes Maniema Union the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Céleste.
- Where and when is Céleste vs Maniema Union played?
- Céleste vs Maniema Union is played on November 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecôte, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.