Celje vs AEK Larnaca: result 1-1 and analysis
UEFA Europa League2nd Qualifying RoundKick-off on July 24, 2025 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Z'dežele, Celje
Full time
What was the result of Celje vs AEK Larnaca?
Celje and AEK Larnaca drew 1-1 on July 24, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 28′F. KovačevićCelje (pen.)
- 53′H. MiličevićAEK Larnaca (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celje have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; AEK Larnaca have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2025 | Maribor(away) | 2-1 | 1. SNL |
| Jul 17, 2025 | Sabah FA(home) | 3-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 10, 2025 | Sabah FA(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| May 25, 2025 | NK Domzale(home) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| May 18, 2025 | Nafta(away) | 6-1 | 1. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2025 | FK Partizan(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 10, 2025 | FK Partizan(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| May 24, 2025 | Pafos(home) | 0-0 | Cup |
| May 18, 2025 | Pafos(away) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| May 12, 2025 | Apollon Limassol(home) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Celje score 2.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; AEK Larnaca score 1.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celje | 2.7 | 1.4 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| AEK Larnaca | 1.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy