Celtic II vs Renfrew: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Excelsior Stadium, Airdrie
The Footlab model makes Celtic II the favourite at 65%, against 17% for a draw and 18% for Renfrew. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celtic II vs Renfrew?
Celtic II starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,656 vs 1,527).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celtic II have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Renfrew have 0, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cumnock Juniors(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dalbeattie Star(away) | 5-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(away) | 3-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Renfrew(away) | 5-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Johnstone Burgh(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Caledonian Braves(home) | 1-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Troon FC(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Celtic II(home) | 3-5 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(away) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Pollok(home) | 1-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Celtic II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Renfrew win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Renfrew 3-5 Celtic II | Football League - Lowland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Celtic II score 2.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Renfrew score 1.5 and concede 3.3. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic II | 2.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 14/15 | 14/15 |
| Renfrew | 1.5 | 3.3 | 0 | 5/6 | 5/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celtic II sit 4th in Football League - Lowland League (13 points from 6 matches) and Renfrew sit 30th (1 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtic II | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 |
| 30 | Renfrew | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celtic II vs Renfrew?
- The Footlab model makes Celtic II the favourite at 65%, against 17% for a draw and 18% for Renfrew.
- Where and when is Celtic II vs Renfrew played?
- Celtic II vs Renfrew is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Excelsior Stadium, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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