Central Espanol vs Danubio: prediction and stats
Copa UruguayRound of 16Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Parque Palermo, Montevideo
The Footlab AI model makes Danubio the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Central Espanol. The most likely score is 1-1. If Danubio wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Central Espanol vs Danubio?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Central Espanol (1,745) and Danubio (1,730).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Central Espanol vs Danubio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Central Espanol
4-2-3-1- 10M. Aguilera
- 21L. Pino
- 24G. Gandolfo
- 4M. Montiel
- 16I. Méndez
- 7F. Munoz
- 26Nunes Cesar
- 17L. Fernández
- 14A. Villoldo
- 5M. Gonzalez
- 12F. Pintado
Danubio
4-4-2- 77B. Tomatis
- 30S. Fernández
- 10M. Peralta
- 8S. Rodríguez
- 16I. Rossi
- 38J. Trasante
- 4M. Rinaldi
- 6L. Sosa
- 19M. Brasil
- 31T. Cavanagh
- 1M. Goicoechea
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Central Espanol have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Danubio have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Atletico Torque(home) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oriental(home) | 1-1 | Copa Uruguay |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Atletico Torque(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cerro Largo(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Penarol(home) | 1-1 | Copa Uruguay |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Central Espanol wins, 3 draws, 0 Danubio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Central Espanol 2-2 Danubio | Primera División |
| Sep 15, 2021 | Danubio 1-1 Central Espanol | Segunda División |
| Jun 2, 2021 | Central Espanol 0-0 Danubio | Segunda División |
| May 4, 2013 | Danubio 0-2 Central Espanol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 10, 2012 | Central Espanol 1-0 Danubio | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Central Espanol vs Danubio on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Central Espanol score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Danubio score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Espanol | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Danubio | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Central Espanol vs Danubio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Central Espanol vs Danubio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Danubio the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Central Espanol.
- Where and when is Central Espanol vs Danubio played?
- Central Espanol vs Danubio is played on October 15, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Parque Palermo, in the Copa Uruguay.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.