Certosa V. Campagnano vs Sarnese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Certosa V. Campagnano the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Sarnese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Certosa V. Campagnano wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,630 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Certosa V. Campagnano vs Sarnese?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Certosa V. Campagnano (1,765) and Sarnese (1,813).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Certosa V. Campagnano vs Sarnese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Certosa V. Campagnano
Not enough data to predict the Certosa V. Campagnano lineup.
Sarnese
Not enough data to predict the Sarnese lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 11:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Certosa V. Campagnano have 6 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Sarnese have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Budoni(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Turris(away) | 0-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Latte Dolce(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Monastir(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Albalonga(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Sarrabus Ogliastra(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Aranova(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Città di Anagni(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atletico Lodigiani(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Paganese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
How many goals should we expect?
Certosa V. Campagnano score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 12; Sarnese score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Certosa V. Campagnano | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/12 | 6/12 |
| Sarnese | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Certosa V. Campagnano sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone G (17 points from 10 matches) and Sarnese sit 1st (23 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sarnese | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Certosa V. Campagnano | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 17 |
A question about Certosa V. Campagnano vs Sarnese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Certosa V. Campagnano vs Sarnese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Certosa V. Campagnano the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Sarnese.
- Where and when is Certosa V. Campagnano vs Sarnese played?
- Certosa V. Campagnano vs Sarnese is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone G.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.