Cesena vs Vicenza Virtus: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 26Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi, Cesena
The Footlab model makes Vicenza Virtus the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Cesena. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cesena vs Vicenza Virtus?
Vicenza Virtus starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,962 vs 1,802).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cesena have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Vicenza Virtus have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 0-3 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Forli(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Catanzaro(home) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Catania(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 1-4 | Serie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals |
| May 2, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 5-2 | Serie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Cesena win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Vicenza Virtus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2023 | Cesena 0-0 Vicenza Virtus | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 27, 2023 | Vicenza Virtus 0-0 Cesena | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Feb 23, 2020 | Cesena 1-3 Vicenza Virtus | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 7, 2019 | Vicenza Virtus 2-1 Cesena | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 4, 2017 | Cesena 1-1 Vicenza Virtus | Serie B |
| Oct 9, 2016 | Vicenza Virtus 0-0 Cesena | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Cesena vs Vicenza Virtus on May 31, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Cesena score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vicenza Virtus score 2.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cesena | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Vicenza Virtus | 2.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cesena sit 10th in Serie B (1 points from 1 matches) and Vicenza Virtus sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza Virtus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Cesena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cesena vs Vicenza Virtus?
- The Footlab model makes Vicenza Virtus the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Cesena.
- Where and when is Cesena vs Vicenza Virtus played?
- Cesena vs Vicenza Virtus is played on February 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.