Cham vs Bavois: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Eizmoos, Cham
The Footlab model makes Cham the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Bavois. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cham vs Bavois?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Cham (1,736) and Bavois (1,695).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cham have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Bavois have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Grand-Saconnex(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kreuzlingen(away) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SC Kriens(home) | 2-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Paradiso(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Breitenrain(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brühl(home) | 0-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 19, 2026 | YF Juventus(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Servette FC(home) | 0-7 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zürich II(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bellinzona(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cham win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Bavois win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Bavois 3-2 Cham | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Cham 0-2 Bavois | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Bavois 0-0 Cham | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Cham 1-0 Bavois | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Cham 2-2 Bavois | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Bavois 2-1 Cham | 1. Liga Promotion |
How many goals should we expect?
Cham score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bavois score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cham | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Bavois | 1.9 | 1.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cham sit 3rd in 1. Liga Promotion (9 points from 4 matches) and Bavois sit 10th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cham | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 10 | Bavois | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cham vs Bavois?
- The Footlab model makes Cham the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Bavois.
- Where and when is Cham vs Bavois played?
- Cham vs Bavois is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Eizmoos, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.