Cham vs Luzern II: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Eizmoos, Cham
The Footlab AI model makes Cham the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 21% for Luzern II. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cham vs Luzern II?
Cham starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,602 vs 1,469).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cham vs Luzern II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cham
Not enough data to predict the Cham lineup.
Luzern II
Not enough data to predict the Luzern II lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cham have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Luzern II have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Young Boys II(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bulle(home) | 2-4 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lugano II(away) | 1-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Brühl(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 12, 2026 | YF Juventus(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Schaffhausen(home) | 0-8 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Basel II(away) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Amical Saint-Prex(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bavois(away) | 1-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Biel-Bienne(home) | 0-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cham wins, 1 draw, 2 Luzern II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Luzern II 3-3 Cham | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Cham 3-1 Luzern II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 24, 2025 | Luzern II 1-3 Cham | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Cham 3-4 Luzern II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Luzern II 3-2 Cham | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 18, 2023 | Cham 3-2 Luzern II | 1. Liga Promotion |
How many goals should we expect?
Cham score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Luzern II score 1.6 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cham | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Luzern II | 1.6 | 2.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cham sit 3rd in 1. Liga Promotion (22 points from 11 matches) and Luzern II sit 17th (7 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cham | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 22 |
| 17 | Luzern II | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 27 | 7 |
A question about Cham vs Luzern II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cham vs Luzern II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cham the favourite at 60%, against 19% for a draw and 21% for Luzern II.
- Where and when is Cham vs Luzern II played?
- Cham vs Luzern II is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Eizmoos, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.