Cham vs Luzern II: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Eizmoos, Cham
The Footlab model makes Cham the favourite at 57%, against 18% for a draw and 25% for Luzern II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cham vs Luzern II?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Cham (1,736) and Luzern II (1,647).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cham have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Luzern II have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Grand-Saconnex(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kreuzlingen(away) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SC Kriens(home) | 2-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Paradiso(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Breitenrain(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bulle(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lugano II(away) | 3-4 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brühl(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 1, 2026 | YF Juventus(away) | 3-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 30, 2026 | Bulle(home) | 2-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cham win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Luzern II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | Luzern II 3-3 Cham | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Cham 3-1 Luzern II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| May 24, 2025 | Luzern II 1-3 Cham | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Cham 3-4 Luzern II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Luzern II 3-2 Cham | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 18, 2023 | Cham 3-2 Luzern II | 1. Liga Promotion |
How many goals should we expect?
Cham score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Luzern II score 2.1 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cham | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Luzern II | 2.1 | 2.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cham sit 3rd in 1. Liga Promotion (9 points from 4 matches) and Luzern II sit 14th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cham | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 14 | Luzern II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cham vs Luzern II?
- The Footlab model makes Cham the favourite at 57%, against 18% for a draw and 25% for Luzern II.
- Where and when is Cham vs Luzern II played?
- Cham vs Luzern II is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Eizmoos, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.