Chateauroux vs Gazelec FC Ajaccio: result 3-1 and analysis
Ligue 2Regular Season - 11Kick-off on October 19, 2012 at 04:45 PM (UTC)Stade Gaston Petit, Châteauroux
Full time
What was the result of Chateauroux vs Gazelec FC Ajaccio?
Chateauroux won 3-1 on October 19, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 42′C. BeauvueChateauroux
- 44′C. BeauvueChateauroux
- 63′C. BeauvueChateauroux
- 74′N. VerdierGazelec FC Ajaccio (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chateauroux have 2 wins, 9 draws and 4 defeats; Gazelec FC Ajaccio have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2012 | Monaco(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 28, 2012 | Le Havre(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 21, 2012 | Arles(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 14, 2012 | Lens(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 31, 2012 | Guingamp(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2012 | Nantes(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Monaco(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 21, 2012 | Angers(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 17, 2012 | Nimes(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 31, 2012 | Dijon(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Chateauroux score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gazelec FC Ajaccio score 1.6 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateauroux | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
| Gazelec FC Ajaccio | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy