Chateauroux vs Istres: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 18Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Gaston Petit, Châteauroux
The Footlab model makes Chateauroux the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Istres. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chateauroux vs Istres?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Chateauroux (1,701) and Istres (1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chateauroux have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Istres have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hauts Lyonnais(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 15, 2026 | Valenciennes(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Sochaux(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Dijon(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Fleury 91(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Troyes II(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Chasselay MDA(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Nimes(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 1, 2026 | Creteil(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Grasse(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chateauroux win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Istres win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2014 | Istres 0-0 Chateauroux | Ligue 2 |
| Nov 29, 2013 | Chateauroux 2-0 Istres | Ligue 2 |
| Jan 26, 2013 | Chateauroux 2-0 Istres | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 17, 2012 | Istres 0-0 Chateauroux | Ligue 2 |
| Feb 17, 2012 | Chateauroux 0-2 Istres | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 20, 2011 | Istres 3-1 Chateauroux | Ligue 2 |
Last archived meeting: Istres vs Chateauroux on Apr 25, 2014
How many goals should we expect?
Chateauroux score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Istres score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateauroux | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Istres | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chateauroux sit 10th in National 2 - Group C (1 points from 1 matches) and Istres sit 11th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Chateauroux | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Istres | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chateauroux vs Istres?
- The Footlab model makes Chateauroux the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Istres.
- Where and when is Chateauroux vs Istres played?
- Chateauroux vs Istres is played on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Gaston Petit, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.