Chauray vs Bayonne: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 9Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal, Chauray
The Footlab model makes Bayonne the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Chauray. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chauray vs Bayonne?
Bayonne starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,826 vs 1,679).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chauray have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Bayonne have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lorient II(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 16, 2026 | Granville(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | La Roche VF(away) | 1-4 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Poitiers(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Angoulême(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Granville(away) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 16, 2026 | Saumur(home) | 3-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Châteaubriant(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Bordeaux(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Avranches(away) | 2-0 | National 2 - Group A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Chauray win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Bayonne win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Chauray 0-1 Bayonne | National 2 - Group A |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Bayonne 2-0 Chauray | National 2 - Group A |
How many goals should we expect?
Chauray score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bayonne score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chauray | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Bayonne | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chauray sit 14th in National 2 - Group B (0 points from 1 matches) and Bayonne sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bayonne | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Chauray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chauray vs Bayonne?
- The Footlab model makes Bayonne the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Chauray.
- Where and when is Chauray vs Bayonne played?
- Chauray vs Bayonne is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.