Match

Chelsea U21 vs Birmingham City U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on February 19, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Kingsmeadow, Kingston upon Thames, Surrey

Chelsea U21Birmingham City U21

The Footlab model makes Chelsea U21 the favourite at 70%, against 16% for a draw and 14% for Birmingham City U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chelsea U21 vs Birmingham City U21?

Chelsea U21 starts as the favourite with a 243-point Elo edge (1,860 vs 1,618).

Chelsea U21 win70 %
Draw16 %
Birmingham City U21 win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelsea U21 have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Birmingham City U21 have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chelsea U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Bristol Rovers(away)2-2EFL Trophy
Aug 21, 2026AFC Bournemouth U21(away)1-2Premier League 2 Division One
Jul 21, 2026Cardiff City U21(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
May 1, 2026Tottenham Hotspur U21(home)1-3Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 25, 2026Middlesbrough U21(home)1-0Premier League 2 Division One
Birmingham City U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Boston United(away)3-2National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026Swansea City U21(away)0-3Premier League Cup
Apr 10, 2026Ipswich Town U21(home)0-3Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 3, 2026Everton U21(home)1-1Premier League 2 Division One
Mar 20, 2026Manchester City U21(home)1-5Premier League 2 Division One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Chelsea U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Birmingham City U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 9, 2026Birmingham City U21 1-4 Chelsea U21Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Birmingham City U21 vs Chelsea U21 on Mar 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chelsea U21 score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Birmingham City U21 score 1.1 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chelsea U212.31.269/1512/15
Birmingham City U211.12.709/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
24Chelsea U211001120

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chelsea U21 vs Birmingham City U21?
The Footlab model makes Chelsea U21 the favourite at 70%, against 16% for a draw and 14% for Birmingham City U21.
Where and when is Chelsea U21 vs Birmingham City U21 played?
Chelsea U21 vs Birmingham City U21 is played on February 19, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Kingsmeadow, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chelsea U21 and Birmingham City U21

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