Match

Chelsea U21 vs Sunderland U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on January 8, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Kingsmeadow, Kingston upon Thames, Surrey

Chelsea U21Sunderland U21

The Footlab model makes Chelsea U21 the favourite at 47%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for Sunderland U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chelsea U21 vs Sunderland U21?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Chelsea U21 (1,870) and Sunderland U21 (1,861).

Chelsea U21 win47 %
Draw21 %
Sunderland U21 win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelsea U21 have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Sunderland U21 have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chelsea U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Bristol Rovers(away)2-2EFL Trophy
Aug 21, 2026AFC Bournemouth U21(away)1-2Premier League 2 Division One
Jul 21, 2026Cardiff City U21(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
May 1, 2026Tottenham Hotspur U21(home)1-3Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 25, 2026Middlesbrough U21(home)1-0Premier League 2 Division One
Sunderland U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Nottingham Forest U21(home)5-1Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 19, 2026Jong PSV U21(home)1-1Premier League International Cup
May 14, 2026Burnley U21(home)1-2Premier League Cup
Apr 26, 2026Manchester United U21(away)2-3Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 15, 2026Blackburn Rovers U21(home)4-2Premier League Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Chelsea U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Sunderland U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 14, 2026Chelsea U21 4-0 Sunderland U21Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Chelsea U21 vs Sunderland U21 on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chelsea U21 score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sunderland U21 score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Chelsea U212.31.269/1512/15
Sunderland U212.51.5212/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chelsea U21 sit 24th in Premier League 2 Division One (0 points from 1 matches) and Sunderland U21 sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Sunderland U211100513
24Chelsea U211001120

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chelsea U21 vs Sunderland U21?
The Footlab model makes Chelsea U21 the favourite at 47%, against 21% for a draw and 31% for Sunderland U21.
Where and when is Chelsea U21 vs Sunderland U21 played?
Chelsea U21 vs Sunderland U21 is played on January 8, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Kingsmeadow, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Chelsea U21 and Sunderland U21

Ready to know everything about football?