Chelsea W vs Brighton W: prediction and stats
FA WSLRegular Season - 25Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stamford Bridge, London
The Footlab AI model makes Chelsea W the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Brighton W. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,005 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chelsea W vs Brighton W?
Chelsea W is a heavy favourite: 2,483 Elo points against 2,141, a 342-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chelsea W vs Brighton W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chelsea W
3-4-3- 9M. Malard
- 19W. Kaptein
- 10L. James
- 2E. Carpenter
- 21K. Walsh
- 11S. Baltimore
- 8E. Cuthbert
- 15K. McCabe
- 26K. Buchanan
- 22L. Bronze
- 24H. Hampton
Brighton W
4-4-2- 14F. Kirby
- 20O. Tvedten
- 8M. Symonds
- 15E. Joramo
- 27S. Peskett
- 11K. Seike
- 18C. Hayes
- 2M. Vanegas
- 5M. Mpomé
- 23M. Auee
- 16C. Nnadozie
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 06:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chelsea W have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Brighton W have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Everton W(home) | 1-1 | FA WSL |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Charlton Athletic W(away) | 6-0 | FA WSL |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Roma W(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League Women |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Crystal Palace W(away) | 3-1 | FA WSL |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur W(home) | 6-2 | FA WSL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur W(away) | 1-2 | FA WSL |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Crystal Palace W(home) | 2-1 | FA WSL |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Wolverhampton W(away) | 6-0 | WSL Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | West Ham W(home) | 3-0 | FA WSL |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Manchester City W(away) | 2-3 | FA WSL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Chelsea W wins, 1 draw, 0 Brighton W wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Chelsea W 2-1 Brighton W | FA WSL |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Brighton W 0-3 Chelsea W | FA WSL |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Brighton W 2-2 Chelsea W | FA WSL |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Chelsea W 4-2 Brighton W | FA WSL |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Brighton W 0-3 Chelsea W | FA WSL |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Chelsea W 4-2 Brighton W | FA WSL |
Last archived meeting: Chelsea W vs Brighton W on Mar 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chelsea W score 2.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Brighton W score 2.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea W | 2.5 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Brighton W | 2.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chelsea W sit 2nd in FA WSL (23 points from 9 matches) and Brighton W sit 7th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Chelsea W | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 5 | 23 |
| 7 | Brighton W | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 11 |
A question about Chelsea W vs Brighton W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chelsea W vs Brighton W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chelsea W the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Brighton W.
- Where and when is Chelsea W vs Brighton W played?
- Chelsea W vs Brighton W is played on May 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stamford Bridge, in the FA WSL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.