Chemal vs AC Douane: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:50 PM (UTC)Stade Cheikha Ould Boïdiya, Nouakchott
The Footlab AI model makes AC Douane the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Chemal. The most likely score is 1-1. If AC Douane wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,444 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chemal vs AC Douane?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Chemal (1,637) and AC Douane (1,704).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chemal vs AC Douane
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chemal
Not enough data to predict the Chemal lineup.
AC Douane
Not enough data to predict the AC Douane lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 05:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chemal have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; AC Douane have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | SNIM(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Gendrim(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Police(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 25, 2026 | Pompiers(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Inter Nouakchott(away) | 5-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Nouadhibou(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Nouakchott King's(away) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gendrim(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hafia(away) | 1-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Hafia(home) | 2-2 | CAF Confederation Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chemal win, 4 draws, 1 AC Douane win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Chemal 1-1 AC Douane | Premier League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | AC Douane 0-3 Chemal | Premier League |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Chemal 0-0 AC Douane | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | AC Douane 3-2 Chemal | Premier League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | AC Douane 1-1 Chemal | Premier League |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Chemal 0-0 AC Douane | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Chemal score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; AC Douane score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chemal | 1.1 | 1.2 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| AC Douane | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chemal sit 9th in Premier League (2 points from 2 matches) and AC Douane sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | AC Douane | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | Chemal | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
A question about Chemal vs AC Douane?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chemal vs AC Douane?
- The Footlab AI model makes AC Douane the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Chemal.
- Where and when is Chemal vs AC Douane played?
- Chemal vs AC Douane is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:50 PM (UTC) at Stade Cheikha Ould Boïdiya, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.