Chennaiyin vs Minerva Punjab: prediction and stats
Indian Super LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, Chennai
The Footlab AI model makes Minerva Punjab the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Chennaiyin. The most likely score is 1-1. If Minerva Punjab wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chennaiyin vs Minerva Punjab?
Minerva Punjab starts as the favourite with a 193-point Elo edge (1,561 vs 1,368).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chennaiyin vs Minerva Punjab
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chennaiyin
4-2-3-1- 24Irfan Yadwad
- 8L. Hnamte
- 71F. Choudhary
- 14Alberto Noguera
- 66M. Bemammer
- 21M. T. Singh
- 17M. Dessai
- 4P. Laldinpuia
- 33Eduardo Kau
- 26L. Renthlei
- 13M. Nawaz
Minerva Punjab
4-2-3-1- 9E. Nsungusi
- 10Dani Ramírez
- 6R. Shabong
- 19M. Kipgen
- 21Shami Singamayum
- 12K. Lhungdim
- 2M. Uvais
- 3B. Varghese
- 8S. Zeljkovic
- 27Pablo Santos
- 13A. Singh
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chennaiyin have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Minerva Punjab have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Bengaluru(home) | 1-2 | Indian Super League |
| May 10, 2026 | NorthEast United(away) | 1-4 | Indian Super League |
| May 6, 2026 | Minerva Punjab(away) | 0-1 | Indian Super League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Jamshedpur(away) | 1-4 | Indian Super League |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Mohammedan(home) | 0-0 | Indian Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | ATK Mohun Bagan(away) | 0-0 | IFA Shield |
| Sep 30, 2026 | East Bengal II(away) | 1-0 | IFA Shield |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Calcutta Customs(away) | 7-0 | IFA Shield |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Horley Town(home) | 0-2 | FA Trophy |
| May 21, 2026 | Mumbai City(home) | 0-2 | Indian Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chennaiyin wins, 1 draw, 3 Minerva Punjab wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Minerva Punjab 1-0 Chennaiyin | Indian Super League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Chennaiyin 2-1 Minerva Punjab | Indian Super League |
| Oct 31, 2024 | Minerva Punjab 3-2 Chennaiyin | Indian Super League |
| Jan 11, 2024 | Chennaiyin 1-1 Minerva Punjab | AIFF Super Cup |
| Dec 18, 2023 | Minerva Punjab 1-0 Chennaiyin | Indian Super League |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Chennaiyin 5-1 Minerva Punjab | Indian Super League |
Last archived meeting: Minerva Punjab vs Chennaiyin on May 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chennaiyin score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Minerva Punjab score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chennaiyin | 0.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Minerva Punjab | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chennaiyin sit 13th in Indian Super League (9 points from 13 matches) and Minerva Punjab sit 6th (22 points from 13 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Minerva Punjab | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 22 |
| 13 | Chennaiyin | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 9 |
A question about Chennaiyin vs Minerva Punjab?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chennaiyin vs Minerva Punjab?
- The Footlab AI model makes Minerva Punjab the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Chennaiyin.
- Where and when is Chennaiyin vs Minerva Punjab played?
- Chennaiyin vs Minerva Punjab is played on November 21, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, in the Indian Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.