Chiangrai United vs Port FC: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 7Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)LEO Chiangrai Stadium, Chiang Rai
The Footlab model makes Port FC the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Chiangrai United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chiangrai United vs Port FC?
Port FC starts as the favourite with a 197-point Elo edge (1,883 vs 1,686).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chiangrai United have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Port FC have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Uthai Thani(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Lamphun Warrior(away) | 0-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Ratchaburi(home) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 2-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya(away) | 1-2 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Persija(home) | 2-2 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 26, 2026 | PSMS Medan(away) | 2-0 | Piala Presiden |
| May 24, 2026 | BG Pathum United(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| May 10, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(away) | 4-1 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chiangrai United win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Port FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Chiangrai United 1-2 Port FC | Thai League 1 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Port FC 1-1 Chiangrai United | Thai League 1 |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Chiangrai United 1-0 Port FC | Thai League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2024 | Port FC 5-1 Chiangrai United | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Chiangrai United 1-2 Port FC | League Cup |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Port FC 1-2 Chiangrai United | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Chiangrai United vs Port FC on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chiangrai United score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Port FC score 2.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiangrai United | 1.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Port FC | 2.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chiangrai United sit 7th in Thai League 1 (40 points from 30 matches) and Port FC sit 2nd (60 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Port FC | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 23 | 60 |
| 7 | Chiangrai United | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 36 | 37 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chiangrai United vs Port FC?
- The Footlab model makes Port FC the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Chiangrai United.
- Where and when is Chiangrai United vs Port FC played?
- Chiangrai United vs Port FC is played on October 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at LEO Chiangrai Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.