Chitipa United vs Karonga United: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Mzuzu Stadium, Mzuzu
The Footlab AI model makes Chitipa United the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for Karonga United. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chitipa United vs Karonga United?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Chitipa United (1,461) and Karonga United (1,457).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chitipa United vs Karonga United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chitipa United
Not enough data to predict the Chitipa United lineup.
Karonga United
Not enough data to predict the Karonga United lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chitipa United have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Karonga United have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | MAFCO(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Creck(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Karonga United(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nyasa Big Bullets(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | CIVO United(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ekhaya(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chitipa United(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nyasa Big Bullets(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chitipa United wins, 3 draws, 1 Karonga United win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Karonga United 1-1 Chitipa United | Super League |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Karonga United 1-0 Chitipa United | Super League |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Chitipa United 0-0 Karonga United | Super League |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Karonga United 1-1 Chitipa United | Super League |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Chitipa United 4-1 Karonga United | Super League |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Chitipa United 2-0 Karonga United | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Karonga United vs Chitipa United on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chitipa United score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Karonga United score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chitipa United | 0.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Karonga United | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chitipa United sit 5th in Super League (24 points from 16 matches) and Karonga United sit 13th (14 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Chitipa United | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 24 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 14 |
A question about Chitipa United vs Karonga United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chitipa United vs Karonga United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chitipa United the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for Karonga United.
- Where and when is Chitipa United vs Karonga United played?
- Chitipa United vs Karonga United is played on February 6, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Mzuzu Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.