Chitipa United vs Karonga United: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Mzuzu Stadium, Mzuzu
The Footlab model makes Chitipa United the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Karonga United. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chitipa United vs Karonga United?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Chitipa United (1,467) and Karonga United (1,459).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chitipa United have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Karonga United have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Karonga United(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nyasa Big Bullets(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Silver Strikers(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ekhaya(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chitipa United(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nyasa Big Bullets(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Creck(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dedza Dynamos(home) | 1-3 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chitipa United win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Karonga United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Karonga United 1-1 Chitipa United | Super League |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Karonga United 1-0 Chitipa United | Super League |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Chitipa United 0-0 Karonga United | Super League |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Karonga United 1-1 Chitipa United | Super League |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Chitipa United 4-1 Karonga United | Super League |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Chitipa United 2-0 Karonga United | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Karonga United vs Chitipa United on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chitipa United score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Karonga United score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chitipa United | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Karonga United | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chitipa United sit 6th in Super League (20 points from 14 matches) and Karonga United sit 14th (13 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Chitipa United | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 20 |
| 8 | Karonga United | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
| 13 | Chitipa United | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 6 |
| 14 | Karonga United | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chitipa United vs Karonga United?
- The Footlab model makes Chitipa United the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Karonga United.
- Where and when is Chitipa United vs Karonga United played?
- Chitipa United vs Karonga United is played on February 6, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Mzuzu Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.