Chlumec nad Cidlinou vs Ústí nad Orlicí: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie CGroup C - 13Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Městský fotbalový stadion, Chlumec nad Cidlinou
The Footlab model makes Chlumec nad Cidlinou the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Ústí nad Orlicí. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chlumec nad Cidlinou vs Ústí nad Orlicí?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Chlumec nad Cidlinou (1,593) and Ústí nad Orlicí (1,663).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chlumec nad Cidlinou have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Ústí nad Orlicí have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kosmonosy(home) | 0-2 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kolín(away) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Admira Praha(home) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vysoké Mýto(away) | 2-4 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rychnov n. Kneznou(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Letohrad(home) | 4-1 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chrudim II(away) | 6-0 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Přepeře(away) | 3-4 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Turnov(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Svitavy(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Chlumec nad Cidlinou win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Ústí nad Orlicí win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2025 | Chlumec nad Cidlinou 2-1 Ústí nad Orlicí | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Ústí nad Orlicí 2-2 Chlumec nad Cidlinou | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Sep 14, 2022 | Ústí nad Orlicí 0-1 Chlumec nad Cidlinou | Cup |
| May 28, 2022 | Ústí nad Orlicí 1-3 Chlumec nad Cidlinou | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Chlumec nad Cidlinou 1-1 Ústí nad Orlicí | 3. liga - CFL B |
Last archived meeting: Chlumec nad Cidlinou vs Ústí nad Orlicí on May 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Chlumec nad Cidlinou score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ústí nad Orlicí score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chlumec nad Cidlinou | 0.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Ústí nad Orlicí | 2.0 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chlumec nad Cidlinou sit 14th in 4. liga - Divizie C (1 points from 3 matches) and Ústí nad Orlicí sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ústí nad Orlicí | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 7 |
| 14 | Chlumec nad Cidlinou | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chlumec nad Cidlinou vs Ústí nad Orlicí?
- The Footlab model makes Chlumec nad Cidlinou the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Ústí nad Orlicí.
- Where and when is Chlumec nad Cidlinou vs Ústí nad Orlicí played?
- Chlumec nad Cidlinou vs Ústí nad Orlicí is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Městský fotbalový stadion, in the 4. liga - Divizie C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.