Cibao vs Portmore United: prediction and stats
CONCACAF Caribbean Club ChampionshipGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on September 17, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Cibao the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Portmore United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cibao vs Portmore United?
Cibao starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,817 vs 1,631).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cibao have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; Portmore United have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jarabacoa(away) | 2-0 | Liga Mayor |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Mount Pleasant Academy(away) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Cavalier(home) | 0-0 | CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship |
| May 24, 2026 | Salcedo(home) | 2-1 | Liga Mayor |
| May 17, 2026 | Salcedo(away) | 0-2 | Liga Mayor |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Salcedo(home) | 1-2 | CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship |
| May 25, 2026 | Cavalier(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| May 20, 2026 | Mount Pleasant Academy(away) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | Mount Pleasant Academy(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 14, 2026 | Racing United(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Cibao score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Portmore United score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cibao | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Portmore United | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cibao vs Portmore United?
- The Footlab model makes Cibao the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Portmore United.
- Where and when is Cibao vs Portmore United played?
- Cibao vs Portmore United is played on September 17, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC), in the CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.