Match

Cipolletti vs Alvarado: prediction and stats

Torneo Federal ASemi-finalsKick-off on October 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Visera de Cemento, Cipolletti, Provincia de Río Negro

CipollettiAlvarado

The Footlab AI model makes Cipolletti the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Alvarado. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cipolletti wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cipolletti vs Alvarado?

A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Cipolletti (1,803) and Alvarado (1,812).

41%30%29%
Cipolletti winDrawAlvarado win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Cipolletti vs Alvarado

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Cipolletti

4-3-3
  1. 7M. Peralta
  2. 9F. Acevedo
  3. 10L. Vella
  1. 11G. Lucero
  2. 8A. Almiron
  3. 18B. Obregón
  1. 2C. González
  2. 3N. T. Garcia
  3. 6V. Manchafico
  4. 4N. Trejo
  1. 1F. Crespo

Alvarado

4-3-3
  1. 10S. Gutiérrez
  2. 9G. Cervera
  3. 11A. Castellano
  1. 8M. Mansilla
  2. 5T. Federico
  3. 4L. Chiozza
  1. 6T. Fernández
  2. 3C. Gorgerino
  3. 2F. Centurión
  4. 13T. Berra
  1. 1E. Bilbao

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:31 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cipolletti have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Alvarado have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cipolletti
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 4, 2026Sol de América(home)6-1Torneo Federal A
Sep 27, 2026Sol de América(away)0-1Torneo Federal A
Sep 19, 2026Juventud Antoniana(away)2-0Torneo Federal A
Sep 13, 2026Alvarado(home)1-0Torneo Federal A
Sep 6, 2026Olimpo Bahia Blanca(away)1-1Torneo Federal A
Alvarado
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 4, 2026Defensores de Belgrano VR(home)2-0Torneo Federal A
Sep 27, 2026Defensores de Belgrano VR(away)2-2Torneo Federal A
Sep 20, 2026Olimpo Bahia Blanca(home)1-1Torneo Federal A
Sep 13, 2026Cipolletti(away)0-1Torneo Federal A
Sep 6, 2026Atenas(home)3-2Torneo Federal A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cipolletti wins, 1 draw, 2 Alvarado wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 13, 2026Cipolletti 1-0 AlvaradoTorneo Federal A
Nov 2, 2018Alvarado 1-1 CipollettiTorneo Federal A
Sep 15, 2018Cipolletti 0-1 AlvaradoTorneo Federal A
Nov 29, 2017Cipolletti 1-0 AlvaradoTorneo Federal A
Oct 15, 2017Alvarado 2-1 CipollettiTorneo Federal A
Apr 16, 2017Alvarado 0-2 CipollettiTorneo Federal A

Last archived meeting: Cipolletti vs Alvarado on Sep 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cipolletti score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Alvarado score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cipolletti1.40.967/155/15
Alvarado1.50.785/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cipolletti sit 12th in Torneo Federal A (25 points from 16 matches) and Alvarado sit 5th (27 points from 16 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Alvarado1676319727
12Cipolletti16745191525

A question about Cipolletti vs Alvarado?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cipolletti vs Alvarado?
The Footlab AI model makes Cipolletti the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Alvarado.
Where and when is Cipolletti vs Alvarado played?
Cipolletti vs Alvarado is played on October 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Visera de Cemento, in the Torneo Federal A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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