Citizen AA vs Kwai Tsing: result 3-2 and analysis
HKFA 1st DivisionRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 21, 2014 at 05:30 AM (UTC)Happy Valley Recreation Ground #6, Hong Kong
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What was the result of Citizen AA vs Kwai Tsing?
Citizen AA won 3-2 on September 21, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Citizen AA have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Kwai Tsing have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2014 | Sun Hei(away) | 6-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 7, 2014 | Yau Tsim Mong(home) | 1-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| May 11, 2014 | South China(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| May 4, 2014 | Pegasus(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2014 | Southern District(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2014 | Tuen Mun SA(home) | 3-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 7, 2014 | Resources Capital(home) | 6-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Apr 27, 2014 | Lucky Mile(home) | 5-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Apr 13, 2014 | Kwun Tong(away) | 3-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Apr 6, 2014 | Wing Yee(home) | 1-4 | HKFA 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Citizen AA score 1.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kwai Tsing score 2.8 and concede 2.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citizen AA | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Kwai Tsing | 2.8 | 2.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Citizen AA | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 46 | 4 |
A question about Citizen AA vs Kwai Tsing?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy