Citizen AA vs Wanchai: result 2-3 and analysis
HKFA 1st DivisionRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 19, 2014 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Po Kong Village Road Park 1, Hong Kong
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What was the result of Citizen AA vs Wanchai?
Wanchai won 2-3 on October 19, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Citizen AA have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Wanchai have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2014 | Kwun Tong(away) | 3-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 5, 2014 | Shatin(away) | 3-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Metro Gallery Sun Source(home) | 1-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Kwai Tsing(home) | 3-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Sun Hei(away) | 6-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2014 | Tuen Mun SA(home) | 4-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 5, 2014 | Resources Capital(away) | 0-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Happy Valley(home) | 2-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Kwun Tong(home) | 2-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 7, 2014 | Shatin(away) | 0-5 | HKFA 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Citizen AA score 2.2 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Wanchai score 1.3 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citizen AA | 2.2 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 13/15 |
| Wanchai | 1.3 | 1.6 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Citizen AA | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 46 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy