CIVO United vs Red Lions: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)CIVO Stadium, Lilongwe
The Footlab model makes CIVO United the favourite at 48%, against 33% for a draw and 19% for Red Lions. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CIVO United vs Red Lions?
CIVO United starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,518 vs 1,404).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CIVO United have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Red Lions have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | MAFCO(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Blue Eagles(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Masters FC(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Red Lions(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Moyale Barracks(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Moyale Barracks(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kamuzu Barracks(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | CIVO United(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Blue Eagles(away) | 2-3 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 CIVO United win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Red Lions win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Red Lions 1-0 CIVO United | Super League |
| Oct 16, 2023 | CIVO United 0-0 Red Lions | Super League |
| Jun 24, 2023 | Red Lions 1-1 CIVO United | Super League |
| Jul 24, 2022 | CIVO United 2-0 Red Lions | Super League |
| May 21, 2022 | Red Lions 1-1 CIVO United | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2021 | Red Lions 2-0 CIVO United | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Red Lions vs CIVO United on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CIVO United score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Red Lions score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIVO United | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Red Lions | 0.8 | 1.3 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CIVO United sit 11th in Super League (17 points from 14 matches) and Red Lions sit 8th (19 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Red Lions | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Red Lions | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 19 |
| 11 | CIVO United | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | CIVO United | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CIVO United vs Red Lions?
- The Footlab model makes CIVO United the favourite at 48%, against 33% for a draw and 19% for Red Lions.
- Where and when is CIVO United vs Red Lions played?
- CIVO United vs Red Lions is played on December 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at CIVO Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.