Club Leon U21 vs Toluca U21: prediction and stats
Liga MX U21Regular Season - 14Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Club Leon U21 the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Toluca U21. The most likely score is 1-1. If Club Leon U21 wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Club Leon U21 vs Toluca U21?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Club Leon U21 (1,560) and Toluca U21 (1,591).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Club Leon U21 vs Toluca U21
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Club Leon U21
Not enough data to predict the Club Leon U21 lineup.
Toluca U21
Not enough data to predict the Toluca U21 lineup.
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club Leon U21 have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Toluca U21 have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Juarez U21(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX U21 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Queretaro U21(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX U21 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atl. San Luis U21(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX U21 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | UNAM Pumas U21(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX U21 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Atlante U21(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX U21 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cruz Azul U21(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX U21 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Santos Laguna U21(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX U21 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atlas U21(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX U21 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Juarez U21(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX U21 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Queretaro U21(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX U21 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Club Leon U21 wins, 1 draw, 1 Toluca U21 win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Toluca U21 4-1 Club Leon U21 | Liga MX U21 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Club Leon U21 2-2 Toluca U21 | Liga MX U21 |
Last archived meeting: Toluca U21 vs Club Leon U21 on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Club Leon U21 score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca U21 score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Leon U21 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Toluca U21 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Club Leon U21 sit 2nd in Liga MX U21 (27 points from 10 matches) and Toluca U21 sit 1st (28 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca U21 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 28 |
| 2 | Club Leon U21 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 27 |
A question about Club Leon U21 vs Toluca U21?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Club Leon U21 vs Toluca U21?
- The Footlab AI model makes Club Leon U21 the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Toluca U21.
- Where and when is Club Leon U21 vs Toluca U21 played?
- Club Leon U21 vs Toluca U21 is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga MX U21.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 23, 2026Necaxa U21vsJuarez U21
- Oct 23, 2026Atlante U21vsAtl. San Luis U21
- Oct 24, 2026Monterrey U21vsGuadalajara Chivas U21
- Oct 24, 2026UNAM Pumas U21vsTigres UANL U21
- Oct 25, 2026Queretaro U21vsCruz Azul U21
- Oct 25, 2026Atlas U21vsPuebla U21
- Oct 25, 2026Club America U21vsPachuca U21
- Oct 25, 2026Club Tijuana U21vsSantos Laguna U21