Colchagua vs Concón National: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónPromotion Group - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Jorge Silva Valenzuela, San Fernando
The Footlab AI model makes Colchagua the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Concón National. The most likely score is 1-1. If Colchagua wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,201 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colchagua vs Concón National?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Colchagua (1,591) and Concón National (1,583).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Colchagua vs Concón National
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Colchagua
4-3-3- 9V. M. Perez
- 17Cristian Valenzuela
- 7R. Díaz
- 33I. Caroca
- 16O. Carrasco
- 8R. Díaz
- 4M. Olea
- 18D. Salas
- 2M. Martin
- 5C. Rodriguez
- 1R. Cancino
Concón National
4-3-3- 28D. Opazo
- 9L. Vargas
- 21A. Cerda
- 25A. Ugarte
- 6V. Demateis
- 30E. Luco
- 3M. Velásquez
- 23C. Vega
- 17K. Araya
- 16F. Cubillos
- 1C. Fuentes
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 09:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colchagua have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Concón National have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Linares Unido(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Municipal Salamanca(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Trasandino(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Santiago City(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Provincial Osorno(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Santiago City(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Linares Unido(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Municipal Salamanca(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Trasandino(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Provincial Osorno(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Colchagua wins, 0 draws, 1 Concón National win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Concón National 1-0 Colchagua | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Concón National vs Colchagua on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colchagua score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Concón National score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchagua | 0.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
| Concón National | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colchagua sit 3rd in Segunda División (22 points from 12 matches) and Concón National sit 4th (21 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Colchagua | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 22 |
| 4 | Concón National | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
A question about Colchagua vs Concón National?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colchagua vs Concón National?
- The Footlab AI model makes Colchagua the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Concón National.
- Where and when is Colchagua vs Concón National played?
- Colchagua vs Concón National is played on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Jorge Silva Valenzuela, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.