Colchester vs Fleetwood Town: result 2-1 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 11, 2014 at 02:00 PM (UTC)JobServe Community Stadium, Colchester, Essex
Full time
What was the result of Colchester vs Fleetwood Town?
Colchester won 2-1 on October 11, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 18′L. McAlindenFleetwood Town
- 40′G. MasseyColchester
- 76′G. MasseyColchester
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colchester have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Fleetwood Town have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2014 | Gillingham(home) | 3-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Preston(away) | 2-4 | League One |
| Sep 27, 2014 | Crewe(away) | 3-0 | League One |
| Sep 20, 2014 | Bradford(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Sep 16, 2014 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 2-3 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2014 | Port Vale(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Sep 27, 2014 | Peterborough(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 20, 2014 | Bristol City(home) | 3-3 | League One |
| Sep 17, 2014 | Barnsley(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Crawley Town(away) | 0-1 | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Colchester score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fleetwood Town score 0.8 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester | 1.5 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Fleetwood Town | 0.8 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy