Colchester vs Ipswich Town U21: prediction and stats
EFL TrophyGroup South - 4Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)JobServe Community Stadium, Colchester, Essex
The Footlab model makes Colchester the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Ipswich Town U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colchester vs Ipswich Town U21?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Colchester (1,763) and Ipswich Town U21 (1,774).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colchester have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Ipswich Town U21 have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oldham(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Accrington ST(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 1-1 | National League Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Coventry City U21(home) | 2-4 | Premier League Cup |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Brighton U21(home) | 1-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Everton U21(away) | 4-8 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Birmingham City U21(away) | 3-0 | Premier League 2 Division One |
How many goals should we expect?
Colchester score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ipswich Town U21 score 2.0 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Ipswich Town U21 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colchester | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colchester vs Ipswich Town U21?
- The Footlab model makes Colchester the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Ipswich Town U21.
- Where and when is Colchester vs Ipswich Town U21 played?
- Colchester vs Ipswich Town U21 is played on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at JobServe Community Stadium, in the EFL Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.