Colmar vs Fréjus St-Raphaël: result 2-1 and analysis
Ligue 3Regular Season - 13Kick-off on October 22, 2011 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Colmar Stadium, Colmar
Full time
What was the result of Colmar vs Fréjus St-Raphaël?
Colmar won 2-1 on October 22, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 65′Mathieu ScarpelliFréjus St-Raphaël
- 81′L. MeyerColmar
- 90′F. DufrennesColmar
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Colmar have 4 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Fréjus St-Raphaël have 7, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2011 | Vannes(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 7, 2011 | Le Poiré sur Vie(home) | 4-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 30, 2011 | Creteil(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Luzenac(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 20, 2011 | Besançon(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2011 | Gazelec FC Ajaccio(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 8, 2011 | Beauvais(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 30, 2011 | Quevilly(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Orleans(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 20, 2011 | Bayonne(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Colmar score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 12; Fréjus St-Raphaël score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colmar | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/12 | 9/12 |
| Fréjus St-Raphaël | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/12 | 4/12 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy