Colmar vs Le Pays du Valois: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group AGroup A - 4Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Colmar Stadium, Colmar
The Footlab model makes Colmar the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Le Pays du Valois. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colmar vs Le Pays du Valois?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Colmar (1,733) and Le Pays du Valois (1,673).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colmar have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats; Le Pays du Valois have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Creteil(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 16, 2026 | Wasquehal(home) | 3-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 9, 2026 | Chambly Thelle FC(away) | 0-6 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 2, 2026 | Bastia-Borgo(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bourges Foot 18(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Racing Colombes 92(home) | 2-4 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 16, 2026 | Reims II(home) | 3-2 | National 3 - Group E |
| May 9, 2026 | Amiens SC II(away) | 5-0 | National 3 - Group E |
| Apr 25, 2026 | OCPAM(home) | 0-1 | National 3 - Group E |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Balagne(away) | 1-3 | National 3 - Group E |
How many goals should we expect?
Colmar score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Le Pays du Valois score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colmar | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Le Pays du Valois | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colmar sit 15th in National 2 - Group A (0 points from 1 matches) and Le Pays du Valois sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Colmar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Le Pays du Valois | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colmar vs Le Pays du Valois?
- The Footlab model makes Colmar the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Le Pays du Valois.
- Where and when is Colmar vs Le Pays du Valois played?
- Colmar vs Le Pays du Valois is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Colmar Stadium, in the National 2 - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.