Colombia vs Chile: prediction and stats
FriendliesFriendly InternationalKick-off on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla
The Footlab AI model makes Colombia the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Chile. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,768 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colombia vs Chile?
Colombia starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,784 vs 1,563).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Colombia vs Chile
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Colombia
4-2-3-1- 9L. Suárez
- 8G. Puerta
- 10J. Arias
- 22Y. Asprilla
- 26A. Gómez
- 6R. Rios
- 23D. Sánchez
- 25K. Andrade
- 2D. Muñoz
- 3J. Lucumí
- 1K. Mier
Chile
4-2-3-1- 16G. Tapia
- 11D. Osorio
- 8F. Loyola
- 9M. Gutiérrez
- 6V. Pizarro
- 18R. Echeverría
- 27J. Villagra
- 26D. Ulloa
- 17G. Suazo
- 2Felipe Andrés Faúndez González
- 12L. Vigouroux
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 07:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colombia have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Chile have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Peru(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Paraguay(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mexico(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Switzerland(away) | 0-0 | World Cup |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Ghana(home) | 1-0 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Mexico(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 30, 2026 | USA(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Canada(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Congo DR(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Portugal(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Colombia wins, 4 draws, 0 Chile wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2024 | Colombia 4-0 Chile | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 13, 2023 | Chile 0-0 Colombia | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 9, 2021 | Colombia 3-1 Chile | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 14, 2020 | Chile 2-2 Colombia | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 12, 2019 | Colombia 0-0 Chile | Friendlies |
| Jun 28, 2019 | Colombia 0-0 Chile | Copa America |
How many goals should we expect?
Colombia score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Chile score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colombia | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Chile | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Colombia vs Chile?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colombia vs Chile?
- The Footlab AI model makes Colombia the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Chile.
- Where and when is Colombia vs Chile played?
- Colombia vs Chile is played on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, in the Friendlies.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.