Match

Comercial PA U20 vs ESMAC U20: prediction and stats

Paraense U20Regular Season - 6Kick-off on November 16, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)

Comercial PA U20ESMAC U20

The Footlab AI model makes ESMAC U20 the favourite at 57%, against 18% for a draw and 25% for Comercial PA U20. The most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,653 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Comercial PA U20 vs ESMAC U20?

On Elo ratings, Comercial PA U20 has 1,447 points and ESMAC U20 1,449.

25%18%57%
Comercial PA U20 winDrawESMAC U20 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Comercial PA U20 vs ESMAC U20

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Comercial PA U20

Not enough data to predict the Comercial PA U20 lineup.

ESMAC U20

Not enough data to predict the ESMAC U20 lineup.

Computed on November 6, 2026 at 09:35 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Comercial PA U20 have 2 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; ESMAC U20 have 2, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Comercial PA U20
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 4, 2026Vila Rica SC U20(away)3-3Paraense U20
Oct 22, 2026Atletico JM9 U20(away)3-2Paraense U20
Nov 25, 2024Tuna Luso PA U20(home)0-11Paraense U20
Oct 25, 2024Pinheirense U20(home)0-6Paraense U20
Oct 18, 2024Maracana Taua U20(away)1-7Paraense U20
ESMAC U20
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 4, 2026Tapajos U20(away)5-1Paraense U20
Oct 26, 2026Atletico JM9 U20(home)6-0Paraense U20
Oct 22, 2026Remo U20(home)2-3Paraense U20
Nov 18, 2024Tiradentes PA U20(away)2-8Paraense U20
Nov 8, 2024Juventude Barcarenense U20(home)0-4Paraense U20

How many goals should we expect?

Comercial PA U20 score 1.4 and concede 5.0 goals per match over their last 7; ESMAC U20 score 2.0 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 86% probability of over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Comercial PA U201.45.013/77/7
ESMAC U202.03.115/98/9

Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Comercial PA U20 sit 11th in Paraense U20 (4 points from 2 matches) and ESMAC U20 sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5ESMAC U2032011346
11Comercial PA U202110654

A question about Comercial PA U20 vs ESMAC U20?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Comercial PA U20 vs ESMAC U20?
The Footlab AI model makes ESMAC U20 the favourite at 57%, against 18% for a draw and 25% for Comercial PA U20.
Where and when is Comercial PA U20 vs ESMAC U20 played?
Comercial PA U20 vs ESMAC U20 is played on November 16, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC), in the Paraense U20.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 86% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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