Comercial vs Ferroviária: result 1-1 and analysis
Copa Paulista1st Round - 1Kick-off on November 4, 2020 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Francisco de Palma Travassos, Ribeirão Preto, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Comercial vs Ferroviária?
Comercial and Ferroviária drew 1-1 on November 4, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 8′Leandro Nunes VelickaFerroviária
- 26′Wesley da SilvaComercial
Official lineup for Comercial vs Ferroviária
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Comercial
- WWarlei
- WWesley da Silva
- LLeandro de Jesus
- RRomarinho
- BBrayan
- LLuã
- OOtavio
- CCesinha
- RRodrigo Sabiá
- WWerbeth Rodrigues Ferreira
- IIago
Ferroviária
- TTúlio Renan
- MMaurinho
- MMarcos Paulo
- RRalph
- DDiego Felipe
- MMaurício
- CCésar
- WWindson
- WWillian Monteiro
- LLeandro Nunes Velicka
- TTom
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Comercial have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Ferroviária have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2020 | EC São Bernardo(home) | 1-3 | Paulista - A3 |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Linense(home) | 3-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Oct 17, 2020 | Linense(away) | 1-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Oct 10, 2020 | Batatais(home) | 1-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Oct 3, 2020 | Olímpia(away) | 3-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2020 | Mirassol(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Cabofriense(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Oct 21, 2020 | Bangu(home) | 3-0 | Serie D |
| Oct 17, 2020 | Bangu(away) | 3-1 | Serie D |
| Oct 15, 2020 | Cabofriense(home) | 3-1 | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Comercial score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ferroviária score 1.5 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comercial | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Ferroviária | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Comercial vs Ferroviária?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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