Comercial vs Marília: result 3-0 and analysis
Paulista - A3Regular Season - 11Kick-off on March 14, 2020 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Francisco de Palma Travassos, Ribeirão Preto, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Comercial vs Marília?
Comercial won 3-0 on March 14, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 25′Lucas Fernando de Britto LinoComercial
- 79′BrayanComercial (pen.)
- 86′WarleiComercial
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Comercial have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Marília have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2020 | Barretos(away) | 2-2 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 4, 2020 | Linense(home) | 3-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Capivariano(home) | 2-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Desportivo Brasil(away) | 2-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 15, 2020 | EC São Bernardo(away) | 0-3 | Paulista - A3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2020 | Nacional SP(away) | 1-2 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 4, 2020 | Rio Preto(home) | 1-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Paulista(away) | 2-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 20, 2020 | Olímpia(home) | 1-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Velo Clube(away) | 0-0 | Paulista - A3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Comercial score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 10; Marília score 0.7 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comercial | 1.2 | 1.1 | 2 | 5/10 | 6/10 |
| Marília | 0.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 1/15 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Marília | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 23 | 6 | 32 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy