Comercial vs Marília: result 2-1 and analysis
Paulista - A31st Phase - 4Kick-off on February 9, 2022 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Francisco de Palma Travassos, Ribeirão Preto, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Comercial vs Marília?
Comercial won 2-1 on February 9, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 40′FélixComercial (o.g.)
- 68′GabrielComercial
- 83′Danillo RibeiroMarília
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Comercial have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Marília have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2022 | Desportivo Brasil(away) | 2-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 2, 2022 | Nacional SP(away) | 3-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Jan 29, 2022 | Sertãozinho(home) | 0-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Oct 19, 2021 | Votuporanguense(away) | 2-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Oct 12, 2021 | Botafogo SP B(home) | 0-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2022 | Nacional SP(away) | 1-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 2, 2022 | Rio Preto(home) | 2-0 | Paulista - A3 |
| Jan 30, 2022 | Capivariano(away) | 1-3 | Paulista - A3 |
| May 31, 2021 | Votuporanguense(away) | 1-2 | Paulista - A3 |
| May 28, 2021 | Votuporanguense(home) | 0-2 | Paulista - A3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Comercial win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Marília win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2021 | Marília 0-0 Comercial | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 14, 2020 | Comercial 3-0 Marília | Paulista - A3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Comercial score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Marília score 0.9 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comercial | 1.1 | 0.7 | 10 | 2/15 | 5/15 |
| Marília | 0.9 | 1.0 | 8 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Marília | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 23 | 6 | 32 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy