Comercial vs Noroeste: result 1-3 and analysis
Copa Paulista1st Round - 5Kick-off on July 30, 2023 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Francisco de Palma Travassos, Ribeirão Preto, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Comercial vs Noroeste?
Noroeste won 1-3 on July 30, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 41′Luis RobertoComercial
- 73′Pedro FelipeNoroeste
- 75′ThiagoNoroeste
- 83′CarlãoNoroeste (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Comercial have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Noroeste have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2023 | Sao Bento(away) | 0-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Mirassol B(home) | 0-3 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Grêmio Prudente(away) | 0-2 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 4, 2023 | Marília(home) | 0-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Mar 21, 2023 | Ponte Preta(away) | 0-3 | Paulista - A2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2023 | Marília(home) | 0-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 15, 2023 | Sao Bento(home) | 0-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 10, 2023 | Mirassol B(away) | 1-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Grêmio Prudente(home) | 1-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Novorizontino(away) | 0-3 | Paulista - A2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Comercial win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Noroeste win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | Comercial 0-2 Noroeste | Paulista - A2 |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Noroeste 1-0 Comercial | Copa Paulista |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Comercial 3-3 Noroeste | Copa Paulista |
| May 21, 2022 | Comercial 2-2 Noroeste | Paulista - A3 |
| May 14, 2022 | Noroeste 2-1 Comercial | Paulista - A3 |
| Feb 12, 2022 | Noroeste 2-1 Comercial | Paulista - A3 |
Last archived meeting: Comercial vs Noroeste on Feb 11, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Comercial score 0.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Noroeste score 1.1 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comercial | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Noroeste | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Jul 28, 2023São Caetano0-1Portuguesa
- Jul 29, 2023Juventus2-1Ponte Preta B
- Jul 29, 2023Primavera SP0-1XV de Piracicaba
- Jul 29, 2023RB Bragantino B1-2Oeste
- Jul 29, 2023Grêmio Prudente3-0Sao Bento
- Jul 29, 2023Marília0-2Mirassol B
- Jul 29, 2023São José EC2-0Santo André B
- Jul 30, 2023Portuguesa Santista2-1EC São Bernardo