Comercial vs Ponte Preta: result 1-1 and analysis
Paulista - A21st Phase - 14Kick-off on March 4, 2023 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Francisco de Palma Travassos, Ribeirão Preto, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Comercial vs Ponte Preta?
Comercial and Ponte Preta drew 1-1 on March 4, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 61′Wendel AlexComercial
- 90′Matheus JesusPonte Preta
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Comercial have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Ponte Preta have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2023 | XV de Piracicaba(away) | 0-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Velo Clube(home) | 2-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 18, 2023 | São Caetano(away) | 2-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 15, 2023 | Monte Azul(away) | 1-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Noroeste(home) | 0-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2023 | Fluminense PI(away) | 4-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 25, 2023 | EC Lemense(away) | 2-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 22, 2023 | Primavera SP(home) | 1-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Portuguesa Santista(home) | 3-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 14, 2023 | Linense(away) | 2-0 | Paulista - A2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Comercial score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ponte Preta score 2.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comercial | 0.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Ponte Preta | 2.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy