Comercial vs Velo Clube: result 2-1 and analysis
Paulista - A21st Phase - 12Kick-off on February 25, 2023 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Francisco de Palma Travassos, Ribeirão Preto, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Comercial vs Velo Clube?
Comercial won 2-1 on February 25, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 14′Lucas DuniVelo Clube
- 39′Gabriel HilarioComercial
- 82′Wendel AlexComercial (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Comercial have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Velo Clube have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | São Caetano(away) | 2-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 15, 2023 | Monte Azul(away) | 1-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Noroeste(home) | 0-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 8, 2023 | Juventus(away) | 2-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Taubaté(home) | 0-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | Juventus(home) | 1-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 15, 2023 | Taubaté(home) | 1-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Rio Claro(away) | 2-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 8, 2023 | São Caetano(away) | 0-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Oeste(home) | 2-2 | Paulista - A2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Comercial win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Velo Clube win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2021 | Velo Clube 0-1 Comercial | Copa Paulista |
| Sep 28, 2021 | Comercial 0-0 Velo Clube | Copa Paulista |
| Nov 20, 2020 | Comercial 2-1 Velo Clube | Copa Paulista |
| Nov 18, 2020 | Velo Clube 2-1 Comercial | Copa Paulista |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Comercial 0-1 Velo Clube | Paulista - A3 |
Last archived meeting: Velo Clube vs Comercial on Oct 5, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Comercial score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Velo Clube score 1.4 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comercial | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Velo Clube | 1.4 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy