Comercial vs Velo Clube: result 2-1 and analysis
Paulista - A21st Phase - 12Kick-off on February 25, 2023 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Francisco de Palma Travassos, Ribeirão Preto, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Comercial vs Velo Clube?
Comercial won 2-1 on February 25, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 14′Lucas DuniVelo Clube
- 39′Gabriel HilarioComercial
- 82′Wendel AlexComercial (pen.)
Official lineup for Comercial vs Velo Clube
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Comercial
- KKadu Barone
- LLuketa
- RRomário
- WWendel Alex
- GGuilherme
- LLuis Roberto
- RRenan
- BBrayan
- GGabriel Hilario
- MMichael
- JJeferson Souza
Velo Clube
- LLeo Castro
- LLucas Duni
- DDenner
- FFelipe
- JJP
- HHeverton
- CCarlos Alexandre
- YYnaiã
- AAlberto
- MMatheus Nunes
- CCaio Alan
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Comercial have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Velo Clube have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | São Caetano(away) | 2-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 15, 2023 | Monte Azul(away) | 1-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Noroeste(home) | 0-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 8, 2023 | Juventus(away) | 2-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Taubaté(home) | 0-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | Juventus(home) | 1-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 15, 2023 | Taubaté(home) | 1-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Rio Claro(away) | 2-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 8, 2023 | São Caetano(away) | 0-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Oeste(home) | 2-2 | Paulista - A2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Comercial wins, 1 draw, 2 Velo Clube wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2021 | Velo Clube 0-1 Comercial | Copa Paulista |
| Sep 28, 2021 | Comercial 0-0 Velo Clube | Copa Paulista |
| Nov 20, 2020 | Comercial 2-1 Velo Clube | Copa Paulista |
| Nov 18, 2020 | Velo Clube 2-1 Comercial | Copa Paulista |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Comercial 0-1 Velo Clube | Paulista - A3 |
Last archived meeting: Velo Clube vs Comercial on Oct 5, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Comercial score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Velo Clube score 1.4 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comercial | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Velo Clube | 1.4 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Comercial vs Velo Clube?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy