Comerciantes Unidos vs Real Garcilaso: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 13Kick-off on April 27, 2016 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo
Full time
What was the result of Comerciantes Unidos vs Real Garcilaso?
Comerciantes Unidos won 1-0 on April 27, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 56′Exar Javier Rosales SánchezComerciantes Unidos (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Comerciantes Unidos have 3 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Real Garcilaso have 4, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2016 | Union Comercio(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Apr 15, 2016 | Deportivo Municipal(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 1, 2016 | FBC Melgar(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 13, 2016 | Sport Huancayo(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 10, 2016 | Defensor LA Bocana(home) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2016 | Deportivo Municipal(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 19, 2016 | FBC Melgar(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Apr 13, 2016 | UTC Cajamarca(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 6, 2016 | Cesar Vallejo(home) | 5-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 3, 2016 | Sport Huancayo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Comerciantes Unidos score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 12; Real Garcilaso score 1.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comerciantes Unidos | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 7/12 | 4/12 |
| Real Garcilaso | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/12 | 6/12 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 21 |
| 10 | Comerciantes Unidos | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 8 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 5 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 29 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy