Como vs Genoa: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 30, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
The Footlab AI model makes Como the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Genoa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Como wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Como vs Genoa?
Como starts as the favourite with a 242-point Elo edge (2,137 vs 1,895).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Como vs Genoa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Como
4-2-3-1- 9T. Douvikas
- 10N. Paz
- 11Assane Diao
- 5M. Perrone
- 7L. da Cunha
- 20M. Baturina
- 4Jacobo Ramón Naveros
- 99T. Chalobah
- 27Yan Couto
- 16Kaiki
- 1J. Butez
Genoa
3-4-2-1- 18M. Osmajić
- 32M. Frendrup
- 3K. Ehizibue
- 77M. Ellertsson
- 10Junior Messias
- 92S. El Shaarawy
- 25H. Traorè
- 5L. Østigård
- 34S. Otoa
- 22J. Vásquez
- 1J. Bijlow
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Como have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Genoa have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | AS Roma(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Parma(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2026 | RB Leipzig(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fiorentina(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Rapid(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Parma(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sudtirol(home) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Frosinone(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Como wins, 3 draws, 0 Genoa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | Genoa 1-4 Como | Serie A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Genoa 0-2 Como | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Como 1-1 Genoa | Serie A |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Como 1-0 Genoa | Serie A |
| Nov 7, 2024 | Genoa 1-1 Como | Serie A |
| Apr 10, 2023 | Como 2-2 Genoa | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Como score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Genoa score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Como | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Genoa | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Como sit 7th in Serie A (11 points from 6 matches) and Genoa sit 17th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Como | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 17 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
A question about Como vs Genoa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Como vs Genoa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Como the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Genoa.
- Where and when is Como vs Genoa played?
- Como vs Genoa is played on May 30, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.