Match

Concordia vs ASA Targu Mures: prediction and stats

Liga IIRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Stadionul Concordia, Chiajna

ConcordiaASA Targu Mures

The Footlab model makes Concordia the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for ASA Targu Mures. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Concordia vs ASA Targu Mures?

Concordia starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,669 vs 1,528).

Concordia win51 %
Draw25 %
ASA Targu Mures win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Concordia have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; ASA Targu Mures have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Concordia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FC Politehnica Timisoara(home)1-5Liga II
Aug 19, 2026Oţelul(home)5-1Cupa României
Aug 15, 2026Gloria Bistriţa(away)2-1Liga II
Aug 12, 2026Progresul Mogosoaia(away)4-1Cupa României
Aug 8, 2026Bihor Oradea(home)2-0Liga II
ASA Targu Mures
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Gloria Bistriţa(home)1-0Liga II
Aug 19, 2026FC Politehnica Timisoara(away)1-2Cupa României
Aug 15, 2026Bihor Oradea(away)1-1Liga II
Aug 12, 2026Gheorgheni(away)2-0Cupa României
Aug 8, 2026Cetatea Suceava(home)0-2Liga II

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Concordia win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 ASA Targu Mures win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 28, 2025ASA Targu Mures 0-0 ConcordiaLiga II
May 5, 2017Concordia 2-0 ASA Targu MuresLiga I
Mar 18, 2017ASA Targu Mures 2-1 ConcordiaLiga I
Nov 29, 2016Concordia 1-2 ASA Targu MuresLiga I
Aug 20, 2016ASA Targu Mures 0-1 ConcordiaLiga I

Last archived meeting: ASA Targu Mures vs Concordia on Nov 28, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Concordia score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; ASA Targu Mures score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Concordia2.11.149/158/15
ASA Targu Mures1.31.358/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Concordia sit 4th in Liga II (9 points from 4 matches) and ASA Targu Mures sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Concordia4301879
14ASA Targu Mures4112354

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Concordia vs ASA Targu Mures?
The Footlab model makes Concordia the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for ASA Targu Mures.
Where and when is Concordia vs ASA Targu Mures played?
Concordia vs ASA Targu Mures is played on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Stadionul Concordia, in the Liga II.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Concordia and ASA Targu Mures

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