Concordia vs ASA Targu Mures: prediction and stats
Liga IIRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Stadionul Concordia, Chiajna
The Footlab model makes Concordia the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for ASA Targu Mures. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Concordia vs ASA Targu Mures?
Concordia starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (1,669 vs 1,528).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Concordia have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; ASA Targu Mures have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Politehnica Timisoara(home) | 1-5 | Liga II |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Oţelul(home) | 5-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gloria Bistriţa(away) | 2-1 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Progresul Mogosoaia(away) | 4-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bihor Oradea(home) | 2-0 | Liga II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gloria Bistriţa(home) | 1-0 | Liga II |
| Aug 19, 2026 | FC Politehnica Timisoara(away) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bihor Oradea(away) | 1-1 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Gheorgheni(away) | 2-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cetatea Suceava(home) | 0-2 | Liga II |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Concordia win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 ASA Targu Mures win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | ASA Targu Mures 0-0 Concordia | Liga II |
| May 5, 2017 | Concordia 2-0 ASA Targu Mures | Liga I |
| Mar 18, 2017 | ASA Targu Mures 2-1 Concordia | Liga I |
| Nov 29, 2016 | Concordia 1-2 ASA Targu Mures | Liga I |
| Aug 20, 2016 | ASA Targu Mures 0-1 Concordia | Liga I |
Last archived meeting: ASA Targu Mures vs Concordia on Nov 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Concordia score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; ASA Targu Mures score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concordia | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| ASA Targu Mures | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Concordia sit 4th in Liga II (9 points from 4 matches) and ASA Targu Mures sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Concordia | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 14 | ASA Targu Mures | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Concordia vs ASA Targu Mures?
- The Footlab model makes Concordia the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for ASA Targu Mures.
- Where and when is Concordia vs ASA Targu Mures played?
- Concordia vs ASA Targu Mures is played on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Stadionul Concordia, in the Liga II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Nov 7, 2026MetaloglobusvsDumbrăviţa
- Nov 7, 2026FC Politehnica TimisoaravsCSM Reşiţa
- Nov 7, 2026CS AfumativsFC Bacau
- Nov 7, 2026Metalul BuzăuvsCSA Steaua Bucureşti
- Nov 7, 2026Unirea SloboziavsAFC Hermannstadt
- Nov 7, 2026Viitorul ŞelimbărvsŞtefăneşti
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