Condal vs Gijón Industrial: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 21Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Alejandro Ortea, Noreña
The Footlab model makes Condal the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Gijón Industrial. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Condal vs Gijón Industrial?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Condal (1,575) and Gijón Industrial (1,627).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Condal have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Gijón Industrial have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Sporting Gijón II(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 4, 2025 | Ceares(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Colunga(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Covadonga(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | L'Entregu(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Colunga(home) | 6-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Mosconia(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ceares(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Caudal(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Siero(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Condal win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Gijón Industrial win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | Gijón Industrial 0-1 Condal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 12, 2023 | Condal 0-1 Gijón Industrial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 26, 2020 | Condal 1-0 Gijón Industrial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 9, 2019 | Gijón Industrial 1-3 Condal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Gijón Industrial vs Condal on Mar 28, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Condal score 0.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gijón Industrial score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condal | 0.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Gijón Industrial | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Gijón Industrial | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 57 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Condal vs Gijón Industrial?
- The Footlab model makes Condal the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Gijón Industrial.
- Where and when is Condal vs Gijón Industrial played?
- Condal vs Gijón Industrial is played on February 7, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Alejandro Ortea, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.