Confiança vs Retrô: result 1-1 and analysis
Copa do Nordeste1st Qualifying RoundKick-off on January 6, 2024 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Estadual Lourival Baptista, Aracaju, Sergipe
Full time
What was the result of Confiança vs Retrô?
Confiança and Retrô drew 1-1 on January 6, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 49′FernandinhoRetrô
- 66′FábioConfiança
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Confiança have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Retrô have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2023 | Paysandu(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Botafogo PB(away) | 3-2 | Serie C |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Aparecidense(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Aug 7, 2023 | Floresta(home) | 3-1 | Serie C |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Sao Jose(away) | 0-2 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2023 | Maranhão(home) | 2-2 | Serie D |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Maranhão(away) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Pacajus(home) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 30, 2023 | Pacajus(away) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Falcon(home) | 1-2 | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Confiança score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Retrô score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Confiança | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Retrô | 1.5 | 0.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Confiança sit 1st in Copa do Nordeste (8 points from 5 matches) and Retrô sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Confiança | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| 3 | Retrô | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy