Confiança vs Sergipe: result 2-1 and analysis
Sergipano1st Phase - 1Kick-off on January 12, 2020 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Estadual Lourival Baptista, Aracaju, Sergipe
Full time
What was the result of Confiança vs Sergipe?
Confiança won 2-1 on January 12, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 25′Nirley da Silva FonsecaConfiança
- 43′AnselmoSergipe
- 90′Ítalo MeloConfiança
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Confiança have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Sergipe have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2019 | Sampaio Correa(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 14, 2019 | Sampaio Correa(home) | 0-2 | Serie C |
| Sep 7, 2019 | Ypiranga-RS(away) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Aug 31, 2019 | Ypiranga-RS(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Aug 24, 2019 | Ferroviario(away) | 2-2 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2019 | Coruripe(home) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 2, 2019 | Fluminense De Feira(away) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| May 26, 2019 | Salgueiro(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| May 18, 2019 | Salgueiro(away) | 3-4 | Serie D |
| May 11, 2019 | Fluminense De Feira(home) | 2-2 | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Confiança score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sergipe score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Confiança | 1.2 | 1.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Sergipe | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Confiança sit 4th in Sergipano (15 points from 9 matches) and Sergipe sit 1st (20 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sergipe | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Confiança | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy